BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 53 Overall: (3-2) Overall Strength = 176.01
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W * 186.98 46 11 1A 115 (1-4) Nevada 4.40 * 17.35 30.60
2 09/06/2025 Home W * 180.92 34 0 1A 131 (2-3) Florida Int'l -1.66 * 21.44 35.66
3 09/13/2025 Home W 192.98 52 6 1B 27 (3-2) Villanova 10.40 * 33.68 35.60
4 09/27/2025 Home L * * 191.30 24 30 1A 13 (5-0) Oregon 8.72 -10.32 -14.72
5 10/04/2025 Away L * * 160.73 37 42 1A 84 (1-4) UCLA -21.85 32.45 16.85
6 10/11/2025 Home * * 1A 76 (3-2) Northwestern 10.45
7 10/18/2025 Away * * 1A 37 (3-2) Iowa -9.12
8 11/01/2025 Away * * 1A 6 (5-0) Ohio State -27.23
9 11/08/2025 Home * * 1A 1 (5-0) Indiana -43.21
10 11/15/2025 Away * * 1A 50 (3-2) Michigan St -4.10
11 11/22/2025 Home * * 1A 28 (4-1) Nebraska -9.83
12 11/29/2025 Away * * 1A 65 (3-2) Rutgers 0.99
Averages 182.58 38.6 17.8
Best game: 192.98 = 46 point win over Villanova
Worst game: 160.73 = 5 point loss to UCLA
Team stdev: 13.07