BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Penn State

Class: 1A Class Rank: 24 Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =  168.86
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (1-6) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-6)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W   * 172.83  46  11   1A 111 ( 2- 8) Nevada                  2.25 *   17.35   32.75                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    W   * 172.43  34   0   1A 109 ( 5- 5) Florida Int'l           1.85 *   21.44   32.15                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W     178.49  52   6   1B  29 ( 8- 2) Villanova               7.91 *   33.80   38.09                      
 4 09/27/2025 Home    L * * 176.71  24  30   1A   5 ( 9- 1) Oregon                  6.13     -9.02  -12.13                      
 5 10/04/2025 Away    L * * 151.26  37  42   1A  65 ( 3- 7) UCLA                  -19.32     32.70   14.32                      
 6 10/11/2025 Home    L * * 156.87  21  22   1A  48 ( 5- 5) Northwestern          -13.71     10.59   12.71                      
 7 10/18/2025 Away    L * * 173.05  24  25   1A   9 ( 6- 4) Iowa                    2.48    -21.49   -3.48                      
 8 11/01/2025 Away    L * * 164.52  14  38   1A   2 (10- 0) Ohio State             -6.06    -26.74  -17.94                      
 9 11/08/2025 Home    L * * 185.02  24  27   1A   1 (11- 0) Indiana                14.44    -32.74  -17.44                      
10 11/15/2025 Away    W * * 174.60  28  10   1A  73 ( 3- 7) Michigan St             4.02     12.27   13.98                      
11 11/22/2025 Home      * *                  1A  42 ( 7- 3) Nebraska                                  8.78            
12 11/29/2025 Away      * *                  1A  61 ( 5- 5) Rutgers                                   9.90            
      Averages             170.58  30.4 21.1

Best game:  185.02 = 3 point loss to Indiana
Worst game: 151.26 = 5 point loss to UCLA
Team stdev:  10.21