BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Penn State

Class: 1A Class Rank: 19 Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength =  172.18
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (3-6) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-6)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W   * 173.72  46  11   1A 111 ( 3- 9) Nevada                  0.38 *   17.35   34.62                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    W   * 173.63  34   0   1A 108 ( 7- 6) Florida Int'l           0.29 *   21.44   33.71                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W     184.23  52   6   1B  11 (12- 3) Villanova              10.89 *   33.80   35.11                      
 4 09/27/2025 Home    L * * 178.43  24  30   1A   5 (13- 2) Oregon                  5.09     -9.02  -11.09                      
 5 10/04/2025 Away    L * * 151.09  37  42   1A  70 ( 3- 9) UCLA                  -22.25     32.68   17.25                      
 6 10/11/2025 Home    L * * 158.31  21  22   1A  46 ( 7- 6) Northwestern          -15.03     10.60   14.03                      
 7 10/18/2025 Away    L * * 175.13  24  25   1A   8 ( 9- 4) Iowa                    1.79    -21.47   -2.79                      
 8 11/01/2025 Away    L * * 164.65  14  38   1A   2 (12- 2) Ohio State             -8.69    -26.73  -15.31                      
 9 11/08/2025 Home    L * * 190.57  24  27   1A   1 (15- 0) Indiana                17.23    -32.74  -20.23                      
10 11/15/2025 Away    W * * 177.91  28  10   1A  67 ( 4- 8) Michigan St             4.58     12.26   13.42                      
11 11/22/2025 Home    W * * 187.25  37  10   1A  42 ( 7- 6) Nebraska               13.91      8.74   13.09                      
12 11/29/2025 Away    W * * 163.68  40  36   1A  59 ( 5- 7) Rutgers                -9.65     12.75   13.65                      
13 12/27/2025 Neutral W   * 174.81  22  10   1A  38 ( 7- 6) Clemson                 1.47      8.01   10.53                      
      Averages             173.34  31.0 20.5

Best game:  190.57 = 3 point loss to Indiana
Worst game: 151.09 = 5 point loss to UCLA
Team stdev:  11.37